Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies

The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Rolla, A.L., Nuñez, M.N., Guevara, E.R., Meira, S.G., Rodriguez, G.R., Ortiz de Zárate, M.I.
Formato: JOUR
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_0308521X_v160_n_p44_Rolla
Aporte de:
id todo:paper_0308521X_v160_n_p44_Rolla
record_format dspace
spelling todo:paper_0308521X_v160_n_p44_Rolla2023-10-03T15:22:49Z Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies Rolla, A.L. Nuñez, M.N. Guevara, E.R. Meira, S.G. Rodriguez, G.R. Ortiz de Zárate, M.I. adaptive management agricultural management climate effect crop production crop yield high temperature low temperature maize soybean strategic approach wheat Argentina Pampas Glycine max Triticum aestivum Zea mays The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield and crop adaptation in the Pampas region (60 million hectares) are assessed using climatic inputs generated by CCSM4 climate model (National Center for Atmospheric Research, US). Projections show an increase in the seasonal means maximum and minimum temperature for both the near (2015–2039) and the far (2075–2099) future, as well as a seasonal annual precipitation increase in the near future and a significant increase in the far future with extreme emissions scenarios. In the near future the crop model projects a reduction in wheat yield, an increase in maize yield and a significant increment in soybean yield compared to the regional baseline for moderate (RCP4.5) and extreme (RCP8.5) emissions. In the far future the projection shows a decrease in wheat yield in the RCP4.5 scenario and an increase in the RCP8.5 scenario, maize and soybean shown a yield increase in both scenarios. Adaptation strategies for the near and far future are proposed for wheat and maize that result in up to 45% yield increases. Adaptation strategies are not proposed for soybean because yield increases were predicted in all scenarios and horizons. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd JOUR info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_0308521X_v160_n_p44_Rolla
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic adaptive management
agricultural management
climate effect
crop production
crop yield
high temperature
low temperature
maize
soybean
strategic approach
wheat
Argentina
Pampas
Glycine max
Triticum aestivum
Zea mays
spellingShingle adaptive management
agricultural management
climate effect
crop production
crop yield
high temperature
low temperature
maize
soybean
strategic approach
wheat
Argentina
Pampas
Glycine max
Triticum aestivum
Zea mays
Rolla, A.L.
Nuñez, M.N.
Guevara, E.R.
Meira, S.G.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Ortiz de Zárate, M.I.
Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
topic_facet adaptive management
agricultural management
climate effect
crop production
crop yield
high temperature
low temperature
maize
soybean
strategic approach
wheat
Argentina
Pampas
Glycine max
Triticum aestivum
Zea mays
description The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield and crop adaptation in the Pampas region (60 million hectares) are assessed using climatic inputs generated by CCSM4 climate model (National Center for Atmospheric Research, US). Projections show an increase in the seasonal means maximum and minimum temperature for both the near (2015–2039) and the far (2075–2099) future, as well as a seasonal annual precipitation increase in the near future and a significant increase in the far future with extreme emissions scenarios. In the near future the crop model projects a reduction in wheat yield, an increase in maize yield and a significant increment in soybean yield compared to the regional baseline for moderate (RCP4.5) and extreme (RCP8.5) emissions. In the far future the projection shows a decrease in wheat yield in the RCP4.5 scenario and an increase in the RCP8.5 scenario, maize and soybean shown a yield increase in both scenarios. Adaptation strategies for the near and far future are proposed for wheat and maize that result in up to 45% yield increases. Adaptation strategies are not proposed for soybean because yield increases were predicted in all scenarios and horizons. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
format JOUR
author Rolla, A.L.
Nuñez, M.N.
Guevara, E.R.
Meira, S.G.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Ortiz de Zárate, M.I.
author_facet Rolla, A.L.
Nuñez, M.N.
Guevara, E.R.
Meira, S.G.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Ortiz de Zárate, M.I.
author_sort Rolla, A.L.
title Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
title_short Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
title_full Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
title_fullStr Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
title_full_unstemmed Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies
title_sort climate impacts on crop yields in central argentina. adaptation strategies
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_0308521X_v160_n_p44_Rolla
work_keys_str_mv AT rollaal climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
AT nunezmn climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
AT guevaraer climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
AT meirasg climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
AT rodriguezgr climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
AT ortizdezaratemi climateimpactsoncropyieldsincentralargentinaadaptationstrategies
_version_ 1782030336499122176