Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change

Wind is one of the most dangerous natural phenomena for the built environment in South Eastern South America. The hazard posed by wind depends on the extreme wind speeds on the surface and can be quantified by calculating the Average Recurrence Interval—more commonly known as return period—of these...

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Autores principales: Augusto Sanabria, L., Carril, A.F.
Formato: JOUR
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Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v148_n1-2_p235_AugustoSanabria
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spelling todo:paper_01650009_v148_n1-2_p235_AugustoSanabria2023-10-03T15:02:23Z Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change Augusto Sanabria, L. Carril, A.F. Climate models Developing countries Hazards Wind Wind effects Built environment Climate simulation Extreme wind speed Infrastructure construction Natural phenomena Planning authorities Recurrence intervals Weather stations Climate change climate change climate effect hazard assessment hazard management map return period weather station wind velocity South America Wind is one of the most dangerous natural phenomena for the built environment in South Eastern South America. The hazard posed by wind depends on the extreme wind speeds on the surface and can be quantified by calculating the Average Recurrence Interval—more commonly known as return period—of these winds. Maps of return period of extreme wind speeds are used by planning authorities to enforce appropriate standards for infrastructure construction in most countries of the world. These maps are usually built up from wind speeds recorded at a network of weather stations. In some countries, however, the quality of the records is poor or the stations have not been in operation for long enough to give appropriate data for wind hazard studies. In this paper, we discuss an alternative approach based on wind speeds calculated by climate models. The approach provides longer datasets and facilitates assessment of the impact of climate change on wind hazard, a matter of great of importance for planning and emergency authorities. Map quality is evaluated by comparing results from the climate simulations with results from reanalysis. The comparison shows that the climate simulations produce results close enough to the reanalysis and hence they can be used for wind hazard assessment. The results also show that we could expect little variation in wind hazard in South Eastern South America during most of this century. © 2018, Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature. JOUR info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v148_n1-2_p235_AugustoSanabria
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic Climate models
Developing countries
Hazards
Wind
Wind effects
Built environment
Climate simulation
Extreme wind speed
Infrastructure construction
Natural phenomena
Planning authorities
Recurrence intervals
Weather stations
Climate change
climate change
climate effect
hazard assessment
hazard management
map
return period
weather station
wind velocity
South America
spellingShingle Climate models
Developing countries
Hazards
Wind
Wind effects
Built environment
Climate simulation
Extreme wind speed
Infrastructure construction
Natural phenomena
Planning authorities
Recurrence intervals
Weather stations
Climate change
climate change
climate effect
hazard assessment
hazard management
map
return period
weather station
wind velocity
South America
Augusto Sanabria, L.
Carril, A.F.
Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
topic_facet Climate models
Developing countries
Hazards
Wind
Wind effects
Built environment
Climate simulation
Extreme wind speed
Infrastructure construction
Natural phenomena
Planning authorities
Recurrence intervals
Weather stations
Climate change
climate change
climate effect
hazard assessment
hazard management
map
return period
weather station
wind velocity
South America
description Wind is one of the most dangerous natural phenomena for the built environment in South Eastern South America. The hazard posed by wind depends on the extreme wind speeds on the surface and can be quantified by calculating the Average Recurrence Interval—more commonly known as return period—of these winds. Maps of return period of extreme wind speeds are used by planning authorities to enforce appropriate standards for infrastructure construction in most countries of the world. These maps are usually built up from wind speeds recorded at a network of weather stations. In some countries, however, the quality of the records is poor or the stations have not been in operation for long enough to give appropriate data for wind hazard studies. In this paper, we discuss an alternative approach based on wind speeds calculated by climate models. The approach provides longer datasets and facilitates assessment of the impact of climate change on wind hazard, a matter of great of importance for planning and emergency authorities. Map quality is evaluated by comparing results from the climate simulations with results from reanalysis. The comparison shows that the climate simulations produce results close enough to the reanalysis and hence they can be used for wind hazard assessment. The results also show that we could expect little variation in wind hazard in South Eastern South America during most of this century. © 2018, Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature.
format JOUR
author Augusto Sanabria, L.
Carril, A.F.
author_facet Augusto Sanabria, L.
Carril, A.F.
author_sort Augusto Sanabria, L.
title Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
title_short Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
title_full Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
title_fullStr Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
title_full_unstemmed Maps of wind hazard over South Eastern South America considering climate change
title_sort maps of wind hazard over south eastern south america considering climate change
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_01650009_v148_n1-2_p235_AugustoSanabria
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