Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development

We consider stochastic population processes (Markov jump processes) that develop as a consequence of the occurrence of random events at random time intervals. The population is divided into subpopulations or compartments. The events occur at rates that depend linearly on the number of individuals in...

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Autores principales: Solari, Hernán Gustavo, Natiello, Mario Alberto
Publicado: 2014
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Acceso en línea:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari
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spelling paper:paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari2023-06-08T16:20:16Z Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development Solari, Hernán Gustavo Natiello, Mario Alberto article conformational transition death developmental stage evolutionary rate insect development life cycle stage linear system nonhuman Poisson distribution population dynamics pupation stochastic model algorithm animal insect population dynamics statistics theoretical model Algorithms Animals Insects Models, Theoretical Population Dynamics Stochastic Processes We consider stochastic population processes (Markov jump processes) that develop as a consequence of the occurrence of random events at random time intervals. The population is divided into subpopulations or compartments. The events occur at rates that depend linearly on the number of individuals in the different described compartments. The dynamics is presented in terms of Kolmogorov Forward Equation in the space of events and projected onto the space of populations when needed. The general properties of the problem are discussed. Solutions are obtained using a revised version of the Method of Characteristics. After a few examples of exact solutions we systematically develop short-time approximations to the problem. While the lowest order approximation matches the Poisson and multinomial heuristics previously proposed, higher-order approximations are completely new. Further, we analyse a model for insect development as a sequence of E developmental stages regulated by rates that are linear in the implied subpopulations. Transition to the next stage competes with death at all times. The process ends at a predetermined stage, for example, pupation or adult emergence. In its simpler version all the stages are distributed with the same characteristic time. © 2014 Hernán G. Solari and Mario A. Natiello. Fil:Solari, H.G. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Natiello, M.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2014 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic article
conformational transition
death
developmental stage
evolutionary rate
insect development
life cycle stage
linear system
nonhuman
Poisson distribution
population dynamics
pupation
stochastic model
algorithm
animal
insect
population dynamics
statistics
theoretical model
Algorithms
Animals
Insects
Models, Theoretical
Population Dynamics
Stochastic Processes
spellingShingle article
conformational transition
death
developmental stage
evolutionary rate
insect development
life cycle stage
linear system
nonhuman
Poisson distribution
population dynamics
pupation
stochastic model
algorithm
animal
insect
population dynamics
statistics
theoretical model
Algorithms
Animals
Insects
Models, Theoretical
Population Dynamics
Stochastic Processes
Solari, Hernán Gustavo
Natiello, Mario Alberto
Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
topic_facet article
conformational transition
death
developmental stage
evolutionary rate
insect development
life cycle stage
linear system
nonhuman
Poisson distribution
population dynamics
pupation
stochastic model
algorithm
animal
insect
population dynamics
statistics
theoretical model
Algorithms
Animals
Insects
Models, Theoretical
Population Dynamics
Stochastic Processes
description We consider stochastic population processes (Markov jump processes) that develop as a consequence of the occurrence of random events at random time intervals. The population is divided into subpopulations or compartments. The events occur at rates that depend linearly on the number of individuals in the different described compartments. The dynamics is presented in terms of Kolmogorov Forward Equation in the space of events and projected onto the space of populations when needed. The general properties of the problem are discussed. Solutions are obtained using a revised version of the Method of Characteristics. After a few examples of exact solutions we systematically develop short-time approximations to the problem. While the lowest order approximation matches the Poisson and multinomial heuristics previously proposed, higher-order approximations are completely new. Further, we analyse a model for insect development as a sequence of E developmental stages regulated by rates that are linear in the implied subpopulations. Transition to the next stage competes with death at all times. The process ends at a predetermined stage, for example, pupation or adult emergence. In its simpler version all the stages are distributed with the same characteristic time. © 2014 Hernán G. Solari and Mario A. Natiello.
author Solari, Hernán Gustavo
Natiello, Mario Alberto
author_facet Solari, Hernán Gustavo
Natiello, Mario Alberto
author_sort Solari, Hernán Gustavo
title Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
title_short Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
title_full Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
title_fullStr Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
title_full_unstemmed Linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: Theory and application to insect development
title_sort linear processes in stochastic population dynamics: theory and application to insect development
publishDate 2014
url https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_1537744X_v2014_n_p_Solari
work_keys_str_mv AT solarihernangustavo linearprocessesinstochasticpopulationdynamicstheoryandapplicationtoinsectdevelopment
AT natiellomarioalberto linearprocessesinstochasticpopulationdynamicstheoryandapplicationtoinsectdevelopment
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