Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina
One of the available tools for monitoring soil dryness and excessive wetness is the Standarized Precipitation Index (SPI). Three years ago, a methodology for monitoring and monthly statistical prediction of the SPI in the Pampas region of Argentina was put into operation. The aim of this paper is to...
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2010
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| Acceso en línea: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio |
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paper:paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio2023-06-08T15:33:26Z Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina Martin, Paula Beatriz Drought Forecast Pampas region Probability Wetness excess One of the available tools for monitoring soil dryness and excessive wetness is the Standarized Precipitation Index (SPI). Three years ago, a methodology for monitoring and monthly statistical prediction of the SPI in the Pampas region of Argentina was put into operation. The aim of this paper is to evaluate these forecasts. First, the SPI calculation methodology is described, and so are those aspects taken into account in order to issue the forecasts. Then, some results of the evaluation by means of contingence tables are shown. Considering the whole region, the percentage of success for the predicted SPI category was 78 % and the contingence coefficient was 0.65. Fil:Martin, P. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2010 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio |
| institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
| institution_str |
I-28 |
| repository_str |
R-134 |
| collection |
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) |
| topic |
Drought Forecast Pampas region Probability Wetness excess |
| spellingShingle |
Drought Forecast Pampas region Probability Wetness excess Martin, Paula Beatriz Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| topic_facet |
Drought Forecast Pampas region Probability Wetness excess |
| description |
One of the available tools for monitoring soil dryness and excessive wetness is the Standarized Precipitation Index (SPI). Three years ago, a methodology for monitoring and monthly statistical prediction of the SPI in the Pampas region of Argentina was put into operation. The aim of this paper is to evaluate these forecasts. First, the SPI calculation methodology is described, and so are those aspects taken into account in order to issue the forecasts. Then, some results of the evaluation by means of contingence tables are shown. Considering the whole region, the percentage of success for the predicted SPI category was 78 % and the contingence coefficient was 0.65. |
| author |
Martin, Paula Beatriz |
| author_facet |
Martin, Paula Beatriz |
| author_sort |
Martin, Paula Beatriz |
| title |
Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| title_short |
Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| title_full |
Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| title_fullStr |
Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the Pampas region, Argentina |
| title_sort |
evaluation of a statistical forecast methodology for soil moisture conditions in the pampas region, argentina |
| publishDate |
2010 |
| url |
https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_03276244_v27_n1_p11_Serio |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT martinpaulabeatriz evaluationofastatisticalforecastmethodologyforsoilmoistureconditionsinthepampasregionargentina |
| _version_ |
1768544821041954816 |