Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps
Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) transmission has been detected in America in 2013 and recently reached south up to Bolivia, Brazil and Paraguay, bordering countries of Argentina. The presence of the mosquito Aedes aegypti in half of the country together with the regional context drove us to make a rapid a...
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Acceso en línea: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo |
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paper:paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo2023-06-08T15:06:51Z Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps Aedes aegypti Alphavirus South America Vector-borne diseases Aedes aegypti Alphavirus Chikungunya virus Aedes animal Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus disease carrier heat mosquito control physiology procedures risk assessment season spatiotemporal analysis transmission virology Aedes Animals Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus Hot Temperature Insect Vectors Mosquito Control Risk Assessment Seasons Spatio-Temporal Analysis Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) transmission has been detected in America in 2013 and recently reached south up to Bolivia, Brazil and Paraguay, bordering countries of Argentina. The presence of the mosquito Aedes aegypti in half of the country together with the regional context drove us to make a rapid assessment of transmission risk. Temperature thresholds for vector breeding and for virus transmission, together with adult activity from the literature, were mapped on a monthly basis to estimate risk. Transmission of chikungunya by Ae. aegypti in the world was seen at monthly mean temperatures from 21-34ºC, with the majority occurring between 26-28ºC. In Argentina temperatures above 21ºC are observed since September in the northeast, expanding south until January and retreating back to the northeast in April. The maximum area under risk encompasses more than half the country and around 32 million inhabitants. Vector adult activity was registered where monthly means temperatures exceeded 13ºC, in the northeast all over the year and in the northern half from September-May. The models herein proposed show that conditions for transmission are already present. Considering the regional context and the historic inability to control dengue in the region, chikungunya fever illness seems unavoidable. © 2015, Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz. All rights reserved. 2015 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo |
institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
institution_str |
I-28 |
repository_str |
R-134 |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) |
topic |
Aedes aegypti Alphavirus South America Vector-borne diseases Aedes aegypti Alphavirus Chikungunya virus Aedes animal Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus disease carrier heat mosquito control physiology procedures risk assessment season spatiotemporal analysis transmission virology Aedes Animals Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus Hot Temperature Insect Vectors Mosquito Control Risk Assessment Seasons Spatio-Temporal Analysis |
spellingShingle |
Aedes aegypti Alphavirus South America Vector-borne diseases Aedes aegypti Alphavirus Chikungunya virus Aedes animal Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus disease carrier heat mosquito control physiology procedures risk assessment season spatiotemporal analysis transmission virology Aedes Animals Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus Hot Temperature Insect Vectors Mosquito Control Risk Assessment Seasons Spatio-Temporal Analysis Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
topic_facet |
Aedes aegypti Alphavirus South America Vector-borne diseases Aedes aegypti Alphavirus Chikungunya virus Aedes animal Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus disease carrier heat mosquito control physiology procedures risk assessment season spatiotemporal analysis transmission virology Aedes Animals Argentina Chikungunya Fever Chikungunya virus Hot Temperature Insect Vectors Mosquito Control Risk Assessment Seasons Spatio-Temporal Analysis |
description |
Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) transmission has been detected in America in 2013 and recently reached south up to Bolivia, Brazil and Paraguay, bordering countries of Argentina. The presence of the mosquito Aedes aegypti in half of the country together with the regional context drove us to make a rapid assessment of transmission risk. Temperature thresholds for vector breeding and for virus transmission, together with adult activity from the literature, were mapped on a monthly basis to estimate risk. Transmission of chikungunya by Ae. aegypti in the world was seen at monthly mean temperatures from 21-34ºC, with the majority occurring between 26-28ºC. In Argentina temperatures above 21ºC are observed since September in the northeast, expanding south until January and retreating back to the northeast in April. The maximum area under risk encompasses more than half the country and around 32 million inhabitants. Vector adult activity was registered where monthly means temperatures exceeded 13ºC, in the northeast all over the year and in the northern half from September-May. The models herein proposed show that conditions for transmission are already present. Considering the regional context and the historic inability to control dengue in the region, chikungunya fever illness seems unavoidable. © 2015, Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz. All rights reserved. |
title |
Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
title_short |
Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
title_full |
Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
title_fullStr |
Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
title_full_unstemmed |
Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
title_sort |
waiting for chikungunya fever in argentina: spatio-temporal risk maps |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo |
_version_ |
1768544544624738304 |