"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China"
This paper aims to show that the exports of agricultural commodities from MERCOSUR countries to China has a significant effect in the state of food security in China. MERCOSUR countries have become key suppliers of several agricultural commodities for China, especially soybeans and beef. This sugges...
Guardado en:
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Artículo revista |
| Lenguaje: | Español |
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EDUCC - Editorial de la Universidad Católica de Córdoba
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071 |
| Aporte de: |
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I38-R402-article-6071 |
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Universidad Católica de Córdoba |
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I-38 |
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R-402 |
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Studia Politicae |
| language |
Español |
| format |
Artículo revista |
| topic |
food security soybeans horizontal price transmission international passthrough comercio agrícola seguridad alimentaria soja transmisión horizontal de precios traspaso internacional de precios |
| spellingShingle |
food security soybeans horizontal price transmission international passthrough comercio agrícola seguridad alimentaria soja transmisión horizontal de precios traspaso internacional de precios Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto "Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| topic_facet |
food security soybeans horizontal price transmission international passthrough comercio agrícola seguridad alimentaria soja transmisión horizontal de precios traspaso internacional de precios |
| author |
Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto |
| author_facet |
Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto |
| author_sort |
Larre , Guillermo Andrés |
| title |
"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| title_short |
"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| title_full |
"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| title_fullStr |
"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| title_full_unstemmed |
"Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" |
| title_sort |
"impact of agricultural trade with mercosur on the state of food security in china" |
| description |
This paper aims to show that the exports of agricultural commodities from MERCOSUR countries to China has a significant effect in the state of food security in China. MERCOSUR countries have become key suppliers of several agricultural commodities for China, especially soybeans and beef. This suggests that MERCOSUR countries may have an important role in the provision of proteins to the Chinese population. We focus on two dimensions of food security in China: availability and access. We use lineal regression to show that the trade with MERCOSUR countries accounted for 8.2% of the total protein supply, or 10.42 grams per person per day, in mainland China, mainly due to trade in soybeans with Brazil. Then we use a cointegration model to prove that the international prices of soybeans are integrated across its main importers, China and the EU, and its main exporters, Brazil, the USA, and Argentina. This shows that there is stable connection between the international prices of this commodity, which has an effect on costs associated with food price stability policies in China. Finally, we use an IRF to find that Brazilian export prices of soybeans have a delayed and permanent effect on Chinese import prices of that commodity. A 1% increase in the soybeans exports price in Brazil can be expected to produce a 0.32% increase in the import price in China after one month and a 2.8% permanent rise after approximately 8 months. This findings will help inform policymakers and scholars in the field of food security and international trade in China and MERCOSUR. |
| publisher |
EDUCC - Editorial de la Universidad Católica de Córdoba |
| publishDate |
2025 |
| url |
https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071 |
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2025-10-23T14:43:30Z |
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I38-R402-article-60712025-10-02T13:41:26Z "Impact of Agricultural Trade with MERCOSUR on the State of Food Security in China" "Impacto del Comercio Agrícola con el MERCOSUR en el Estado de Seguridad Alimentaria de China" Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto Larre , Guillermo Andrés Gallardo, Daniel Alberto food security soybeans horizontal price transmission international passthrough comercio agrícola seguridad alimentaria soja transmisión horizontal de precios traspaso internacional de precios This paper aims to show that the exports of agricultural commodities from MERCOSUR countries to China has a significant effect in the state of food security in China. MERCOSUR countries have become key suppliers of several agricultural commodities for China, especially soybeans and beef. This suggests that MERCOSUR countries may have an important role in the provision of proteins to the Chinese population. We focus on two dimensions of food security in China: availability and access. We use lineal regression to show that the trade with MERCOSUR countries accounted for 8.2% of the total protein supply, or 10.42 grams per person per day, in mainland China, mainly due to trade in soybeans with Brazil. Then we use a cointegration model to prove that the international prices of soybeans are integrated across its main importers, China and the EU, and its main exporters, Brazil, the USA, and Argentina. This shows that there is stable connection between the international prices of this commodity, which has an effect on costs associated with food price stability policies in China. Finally, we use an IRF to find that Brazilian export prices of soybeans have a delayed and permanent effect on Chinese import prices of that commodity. A 1% increase in the soybeans exports price in Brazil can be expected to produce a 0.32% increase in the import price in China after one month and a 2.8% permanent rise after approximately 8 months. This findings will help inform policymakers and scholars in the field of food security and international trade in China and MERCOSUR. Este artículo tiene como objetivo demostrar que las exportaciones de productos agrícolas desde los países del MERCOSUR hacia China tienen un efecto significativo en el estado de la seguridad alimentaria en China. Los países del MERCOSUR se han convertido en proveedores clave de varios productos agrícolas para China, especialmente soja y carne vacuna. Esto sugiere que los países del MERCOSUR podrían desempeñar un papel importante en el suministro de proteínas para la población china. Nos enfocamos en dos dimensiones de la seguridad alimentaria en China: disponibilidad y acceso. Utilizamos un modelo basado en regresión lineal para demostrar que el comercio con los países del MERCOSUR explica el 8,29% del suministro total de proteínas, o 10,42 gramos por persona al día, en China continental, explicado principalmente por el comercio de soja con Brasil. Luego, utilizamos un modelo de cointegración para demostrar que los precios internacionales de la soja están integrados entre sus principales importadores, China y la UE, y sus principales exportadores, Brasil, Estados Unidos y Argentina. Esto muestra que existe una conexión estable entre los precios internacionales de este producto, lo cual tiene un efecto en los costos asociados con las políticas de estabilidad de precios de los alimentos en China. Finalmente, utilizamos IRF para encontrar que los precios de exportación de soja de Brasil tienen un efecto retardado y permanente en los precios de importación de ese producto en China. Un aumento del 1% en el precio de exportación de soja en Brasil puede esperarse que produzca un aumento del 0,32% en el precio de importación en China después de un mes y un aumento permanente del 2,8% después de aproximadamente 8 meses. Estos resultados ayudan a informar a las políticas y los estudios sobre seguridad alimentaria y comercio internacional en China y el MERCOSUR. EDUCC - Editorial de la Universidad Católica de Córdoba 2025-10-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf application/zip application/zip https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071 10.22529/ Studia Politicæ; Vol. 64 (2025): Primavera - Verano 2025; 153-174 2408-4182 1669-7405 spa https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071/8762 https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071/8763 https://revistas.bibdigital.uccor.edu.ar/index.php/SP/article/view/6071/8764 Derechos de autor 2025 Guillermo Andrés Larre, Daniel Alberto Gallardo https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |