The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions
Fil: Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.
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| Formato: | Tesis Tesis de maestría updatedVersion |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
3/23
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| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/10908/586 |
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I37-R143-10908-5862025-01-29T16:35:25Z The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio Kawamura, Enrique Stocks -- Prices -- Mathematical models. Acciones (Bolsa) -- Precios -- Modelos matemáticos. Fil: Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina. This paper suggests that the models which try to explain the equity premium puzzle underestimate rare economic events. The stochastic nature of the model increases the probability of far-from the mean output levels. A multiplicative-additive random walk formulation is considered, consistent with a fat-tail gaussian distribution. Using Barro s (2009) rate of return de nition, the calibrated model yields an equity premium of 5.8% and a risk-free rate of 1.3%. Taking into account the classical de nition, the solutions are 6% and 1.1% respectively. Adopting the utility formulation of Epstein and Zin (1989), the coeficient of relative risk aversion that best performs is about 1.8 and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is roughly 1.1. Finally, there follows a calculation of the average probability of an economic contraction higher than 15% in the United States during the period between 1954-2004 by using the probability density function calibrated in the last model specification mentioned above and yields 0.06%. 3/23/2012 9:22Z 3/23/2012 9:22Z 2009 Tesis info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis info:ar-repo/semantics/tesis de maestría info:eu-repo/semantics/updatedVersion Bertolotto, M. I. (2009). The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions. [Tesis de maestría, Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía]. Repositorio Digital San Andrés. http://hdl.handle.net/10908/586 Tesis M. Eco. 70 http://hdl.handle.net/10908/586 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf application/pdf Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía |
| institution |
Universidad de San Andrés |
| institution_str |
I-37 |
| repository_str |
R-143 |
| collection |
Repositorio Digital - Universidad de San Andrés (UdeSa) |
| language |
Inglés |
| topic |
Stocks -- Prices -- Mathematical models. Acciones (Bolsa) -- Precios -- Modelos matemáticos. |
| spellingShingle |
Stocks -- Prices -- Mathematical models. Acciones (Bolsa) -- Precios -- Modelos matemáticos. Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| topic_facet |
Stocks -- Prices -- Mathematical models. Acciones (Bolsa) -- Precios -- Modelos matemáticos. |
| description |
Fil: Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina. |
| author2 |
Kawamura, Enrique |
| author_facet |
Kawamura, Enrique Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio |
| format |
Tesis Tesis de maestría Tesis de maestría updatedVersion |
| author |
Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio |
| author_sort |
Bertolotto, Manuel Ignacio |
| title |
The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| title_short |
The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| title_full |
The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| title_fullStr |
The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| title_sort |
equity premium puzzle with 2 different rates of return definitions : the stochastic nature of their solutions |
| publisher |
Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía |
| publishDate |
3/23 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10908/586 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT bertolottomanuelignacio theequitypremiumpuzzlewith2differentratesofreturndefinitionsthestochasticnatureoftheirsolutions AT bertolottomanuelignacio equitypremiumpuzzlewith2differentratesofreturndefinitionsthestochasticnatureoftheirsolutions |
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1824439726856208384 |