Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output

Our aim is to examine whether sectorial production shocks have predominated in Mexico’s long annual real output, and whether shocks from different sectors are correlated. We study the long-run movement and comovements of 6 production sectors, using long, low frequency data for the Mexican economy fr...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Antonio E. Noriega
Formato: Artículo científico
Publicado: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. 2004
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32313102
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=mx/mx-010&d=32313102oai
Aporte de:
id I16-R122-32313102oai
record_format dspace
institution Consejo Latinoamericano de Ciencias Sociales
institution_str I-16
repository_str R-122
collection Red de Bibliotecas Virtuales de Ciencias Sociales (CLACSO)
topic Economía y Finanzas
Sectorial Production
Sequential Unit Root Testing
Cointegration
Common Trends
spellingShingle Economía y Finanzas
Sectorial Production
Sequential Unit Root Testing
Cointegration
Common Trends
Antonio E. Noriega
Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
topic_facet Economía y Finanzas
Sectorial Production
Sequential Unit Root Testing
Cointegration
Common Trends
description Our aim is to examine whether sectorial production shocks have predominated in Mexico’s long annual real output, and whether shocks from different sectors are correlated. We study the long-run movement and comovements of 6 production sectors, using long, low frequency data for the Mexican economy from 1921 to 1993 and Johansen’s (1991, 1995) method to test for cointegration, that is, the possibility of common stochastic shocks driving growth among sectors. Under cointegration, the idiosyncratic sectorial shocks cancel out and vanish, giving rise to a (possibly multiple) stochastic growth component common to all (some) sectors. We show that the sources of permanent innovations in Mexico’s real output are more likely to come from sector-group-specific sources rather than from either independent sector-specific technological shocks, or common aggregate permanent innovations.
format Artículo científico
Artículo científico
author Antonio E. Noriega
author_facet Antonio E. Noriega
author_sort Antonio E. Noriega
title Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
title_short Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
title_full Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
title_fullStr Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
title_full_unstemmed Sector-Level Disaggregate Stochastic Trends in Mexico’s Real Output
title_sort sector-level disaggregate stochastic trends in mexico’s real output
publisher Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C.
publishDate 2004
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32313102
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=mx/mx-010&d=32313102oai
work_keys_str_mv AT antonioenoriega sectorleveldisaggregatestochastictrendsinmexicosrealoutput
bdutipo_str Repositorios
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