Guidance notes for lead authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties /

The following notes are intended to assist Lead Authors (LAs) of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) to deal with uncertainties consistently. They address approaches to developing expert judgments, evaluating uncertainties, and communicating uncertainty and confidence in findings that arise in the co...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores Corporativos: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, PNUMA, World Meteorological Organization
Formato: Libro
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: Geneve : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2005
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Aporte de:Registro referencial: Solicitar el recurso aquí
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520 |a The following notes are intended to assist Lead Authors (LAs) of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) to deal with uncertainties consistently. They address approaches to developing expert judgments, evaluating uncertainties, and communicating uncertainty and confidence in findings that arise in the context of the assessment process. Where alternative approaches are used in the relevant literature, those should be used but where possible related to the approaches given here. Further background material and more detailed coverage of these issues are available in the guidance paper on uncertainties developed for the Third Assessment Report [1] and the report of an IPCC Workshop on Uncertainty and Risk [2]. 
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